Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 2.125389 2.431893 2.758186 3.130435 3.542353 3.983220 4.489735
2025-01-05 1.633097 2.069413 2.571598 3.187667 3.918128 4.751521 5.768892
2025-01-12 1.248836 1.740115 2.347279 3.141444 4.140374 5.342234 6.883272
2025-01-19 1.017993 1.544664 2.237717 3.195371 4.460744 6.050413 8.170036
2025-01-26 0.842551 1.384056 2.138761 3.233961 4.744576 6.713735 9.427063
2025-02-02 0.711628 1.259011 2.063310 3.283021 5.030223 7.381753 10.714018
2025-02-09 0.593469 1.129902 1.959740 3.272118 5.219765 7.919365 11.843520
2025-02-16 0.489454 1.003219 1.839532 3.217071 5.331482 8.344307 12.828384
2025-02-23 0.421885 0.925153 1.782896 3.247495 5.562425 8.940125 14.069071
2025-03-02 0.353544 0.832466 1.688579 3.204972 5.673311 9.360485 15.070603
2025-03-09 0.309382 0.777001 1.649263 3.244743 5.908718 9.968881 16.362297
2025-03-16 0.265015 0.712334 1.584425 3.232802 6.056495 10.447091 17.475631
2025-03-23 0.241797 0.689790 1.597204 3.360916 6.447913 11.328563 19.248608
2025-03-30 0.217618 0.660702 1.594259 3.461052 6.799945 12.167229 20.995032
2025-04-06 0.183652 0.601123 1.522931 3.428505 6.923068 12.648381 22.210260
2025-04-13 0.163054 0.569908 1.505199 3.493733 7.217398 13.414764 23.895989
2025-04-20 0.143530 0.536820 1.478709 3.538401 7.475907 14.131167 25.525752
2025-04-27 0.127192 0.508468 1.458505 3.592546 7.752619 14.886508 27.240869
2025-05-04 0.109004 0.469720 1.408919 3.581409 7.906735 15.439904 28.645477
2025-05-11 0.090917 0.425704 1.340047 3.522430 7.965423 15.830267 29.793084
2025-05-18 0.079840 0.401402 1.315652 3.555279 8.198908 16.528227 31.467913
2025-05-25 0.066953 0.366301 1.258263 3.509562 8.275427 16.952417 32.695670
2025-06-01 0.059231 0.347809 1.241485 3.552383 8.526650 17.691223 34.471243